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US to attack Syria in "unbelievably small, limited strike" if they don't give up chemical weapons

Alex D. from TRIBE on Utility Room

praktik

TRIBE Member
I just posted an example of something you posted being demonstrably incorrect. How does spreading false information help people "better define the chaos" rather than confuse them?

I'm adjusting my Tribe Tracker .xls

+100 is being added to your column!
 

WestsideWax

TRIBE Promoter
I just posted an example of something you posted being demonstrably incorrect. How does spreading false information help people "better define the chaos" rather than confuse them?

In the immortal words of Andrew Clark, "Answer the question, Claire."

Rather than dropping more videos, particularly one interviewing some random who claims to have it all figured out, where even the comments are opining that she seems to have a couple of screws loose.
 
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Bacchus

TRIBE Promoter
And I think in all the talk of oil in Iraq and potential pipelines in Afghanistan, none of which really panned out the way these critics were alleging they would, we miss the fact that the large majority of people in power who enable these actions are doing so from this misguided mishmash of national myths and the psychological need to see oneself as noble and moral. These attitudes are honestly held in the highest political circles (it helps grease the way up) and they're backed by significant majorities of the population that share these assumptions/myths..

pretty much the manifesto of PNAC.


Although, they don't have the direct hand in the current administration , many argue that their influence remains.

here's a letter they wrote to Obama in 2011

August 19, 2011
The Honorable Barack Obama
President of the United States
The White House
Washington, DC
Dear President Obama:
We commend you for your administration’s statement that “the future of Syria must be determined by its people, but President Bashar al-Assad is standing in their way… For the sake of the Syrian people, the time has come for President Assad to step aside.”
We are concerned, however, that unless urgent actions are taken by the United States and its allies, the Assad regime’s use of force against the Syrian people will only increase and the already significant death toll will mount.
As you have stated previously, the Arab Spring presents an opportunity to “pursue the world as it should be” rather than continuing to “accept the world as it is.” There is perhaps no place where this is truer than Syria.
The regime of Bashar al-Assad and that of his father which preceded him, have brutally repressed the Syrian people for decades, imprisoning, torturing, and killing those who attempted dissent. In recent years, Syria has formed increasingly close ties with Iran, jointly supporting terrorist groups with funds and weaponry used to terrorize American allies in the region. For years, the Assad regime pursued a covert nuclear program with North Korean assistance, which could have led to a disastrous cascade of nuclear proliferation in the Middle East. Finally, by facilitating foreign fighters’ transit through Syrian territory, the Assad regime contributed to the death and injury of thousands of American troops serving in Iraq over the last eight years.
The tactics used by the current regime make clear now more than ever that a post-Assad Syria is in America’s interest. We commend you for adding your uniquely powerful voice to the chorus of foreign leaders in calling for Assad’s departure. We appreciate the executive order issued today that freezes Syrian government assets in the U.S.’s jurisdiction and prohibits new investment in Syria by U.S. persons or the exportation or sale of any services to Syria by U.S. persons. We commend you for freezing imports of Syrian petroleum products and prohibiting U.S. persons from transacting business related to Syrian-origin petroleum products. The actions send a strong message of support to the Syrian people in their quest for freedom.
We believe there is more than can be done. Specifically, we urge you to:
• Work with our European allies to tighten the sanctions regime against Syria. Particular attention should be paid to potential multilateral energy sector sanctions as well as the passage of energy sanctions bills recently introduced in the House of Representatives and Senate.
• Encourage Germany, Italy, and France, which are the main buyers of Syrian oil, to terminate their purchases of Syrian crude; forcefully urge energy trading firms from Switzerland, Holland, and elsewhere to stop their sales of refined petroleum products to Syria; and pressure European, Russian, Chinese, and Indian companies to freeze their investments in Syria’s energy sector and the transfer of any energy-related technology, goods, and services.
• Sanction any person assisting Syria in the development of energy pipelines as well as insurance firms, shipping companies, financing entities, ports managers, and other persons active in supporting Syria’s energy sector.
• Implement measures against Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps individuals and entities doing business in Syria. Expand sanctions against Syrian persons who are involved in human rights abuses, support for terrorism, and supporting Syria’s proliferation activities. Sanction those international companies doing business with these designated Iranian and Syrian individuals and entities.
• Sanction the Syrian Central Bank in order to freeze the Assad regime out of the global financial system and inhibit the ability of the regime to settle oil sales and other financial transactions. It is important to ensure that the Central Bank of Syria does not facilitate trade for any sanctioned Syrian banks, businesses and persons.
• Work with our European allies to follow your lead in sanctioning the Commercial Bank of Syria and the Syrian Lebanese Commercial Bank.
• Sanction international persons involved in the purchase, issuance, financing or the facilitation of Syrian sovereign debt, including energy bonds, which the Assad regime may use to circumvent investment-related sanctions in order to raise capital for its energy sector.
• Engage Syrian opposition figures outside the country and ensure that all available aid and assistance, including secure communications and Internet circumvention technology is being made available to these groups.
• Leverage the International Atomic Energy Agency’s referral of Syria to the United Nations Security Council for its violation of its nonproliferation obligations to press for additional sanctions against Damascus.
• Recall Ambassador Robert Ford from Damascus unless he is clearly charged with aiding the transition to democracy in Syria.
Mr. President, the opportunity presented by recent developments in Syria and the broader region is momentous. As you said in May, “we cannot hesitate to stand squarely on the side of those who are reaching for their rights, knowing that their success will bring about a world that is more peaceful, more stable, and more just.” Supporting Syrians to rid themselves of Assad’s yoke would also have broader game-changing implications on peace and stability in the Middle East. It would deny Iran the use of its major ally as a proxy for terrorism, stem the flow of Syrian arms to Hezbollah, reduce instability in Lebanon, and lessen tensions on Israel’s northern border.
This is a significant moment where many of our allies and partners in Europe and the region are in agreement that the Assad atrocities must stop now. They are poised to act. Now is the time to continue placing the United States firmly on the side of the Syrian people. We urge you to grasp this opportunity and increase your administration’s efforts to ensure that the brave people taking to the streets in Syria are soon able to enjoy the fruits of freedom that we in the West hold so dear.

incerely,
Khairi Abaza, Foundation for Defense of Democracies
Ammar Abdulhamid, pro-democracy Syrian activist
Hussain Abdul-Hussain, Kalimah Institute
Elliott Abrams, Council on Foreign Relations
Amr Al-Azm, Member, Executive Committee, Antalia Committee and Professor, Shawnee State University
Tony Badran, Foundation for Defense of Democracies
Bassam Bitar, Former Diplomat in the Syrian Embassy (Paris)
Max Boot, Council on Foreign Relations
Toby Dershowitz, Foundation for Defense of Democracies
Michael Doran, Brookings Institution
Mark Dubowitz, Foundation for Defense of Democracies
Jamie Fly, Foreign Policy Initiative
Reuel Marc Gerecht, Foundation for Defense of Democracies
Michael Makovsky, Bipartisan Policy Center
John Hannah, Foundation for Defense of Democracies
William Inboden, University of Texas-Austin
Frederick W. Kagan, American Enterprise Institute
Robert Kagan, Brookings Institution
William Kristol, Weekly Standard
Robert J. Lieber, Georgetown University
Bashar Lutfi, Northwest Medical Center
Clifford D. May, Foundation for Defense of Democracies
Honorable Robert C. McFarlane, Former National Security Advisor
Jonathan Schanzer, Foundation for Defense of Democracies
Randy Scheunemann, Orion Strategies
Gary Schmitt, American Enterprise Institute
Lee Smith, Foundation for Defense of Democracies and The Weekly Standard
Henry Sokolski, Nonproliferation Policy Education Center
Leon Wieseltier
Ambassador R. James Woolsey, Former Director of Central Intelligence, Chairman of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies
Robert Zarate, Foreign Policy Initiative
 

praktik

TRIBE Member
Yep but PNAC are still just one facet of a trend in the conservative political culture - the neocon trend, and I think its clear that much of the Republican party and Blue Dog type Dems are still beholden to this neo-Wilsonian ideological bent...

...Add to these a set of earnest liberals motivated more by the "do gooder" than by the "action jackson" type shit and you get a pretty strong consensus for war.

PNAC is definitely important to know and understand but must be situated in this wider movement - some tracts tend to focus inordinately on PNAC and miss the nexus of other interests that share the same drive and the political roots of it that have been burdgeoning for some decades on the right...
 

praktik

TRIBE Member
Do Military Interventions Reduce Killings of Civilians in Civil Wars?

As a conflict actor weakens relative to its adversary, it employs increasingly violent tactics toward the civilian population as a means of reshaping the strategic landscape to its benefit. The reason for this is twofold. First, declining capabilities increase resource needs at the moment that extractive capacity is in decline. Second, declining capabilities inhibit control and policing, making less violent means of defection deterrence more difficult. As both resource extraction difficulties and internal threats increase, actors’ incentives for violence against the population increase. To the extent that biased military interventions shift the balance of power between conflict actors, we argue that they alter actor incentives to victimize civilians. Specifically, intervention should reduce the level of violence employed by the supported faction and increase the level employed by the opposed faction. We test these arguments using data on civilian casualties and armed intervention in intrastate conflicts from 1989 to 2005. Our results support our expectations, suggesting that interventions shift the power balance and affect the levels of violence employed by combatants.​
 
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praktik

TRIBE Member
^^ this is what happened in Yugoslavia - in all the back-patting in the west we don't ever call ourselves to account for the fact that our Coward's Way (air strikes w/ no boots on the ground) meant protections for civilians were removed (they had to leave when the bombs started) at the same time as the dynamics listed above came to act on the players in the game: the result were spikes of civilian casualties coming as a direct result of our bombing.

The Brave Way would have been to actually insert western soldiers in between the warring sides, but that would mean actually living up to our language of Western nobility and civilization, and its just better for everyone if we can brand ourselves as brave without having to actually you know, BE brave...
 

Persephone

TRIBE Member
You can't believe anything you see on TV or read in the news, the only thing you can do is absorb it all and make up your own damn mind.

It works in both directions no? Surely you don't believe that only American media is suffering from excessive corporate influence.

How do you judge the quality of information? What makes one source more credible than another? What constitutes good evidence vs. corrupt/bad evidence, for you?

I'm not being facetious here.

What do you think are the motivations behind your alternative news sources? Where do they get their funding?
 

WestsideWax

TRIBE Promoter
It works in both directions no? Surely you don't believe that only American media is suffering from excessive corporate influence.

How do you judge the quality of information? What makes one source more credible than another? What constitutes good evidence vs. corrupt/bad evidence, for you?

I'm not being facetious here.

What do you think are the motivations behind your alternative news sources? Where do they get their funding?

Here, let me answer all of that for you on the Watcher's behalf:

[YOUTUBE]om_RfWmxLx8[/YOUTUBE]
 
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The Watcher

TRIBE Member
I get the news from everywhere, msm, alternative, blog,youtube,conspiracy sites,research.

You have to use a healthy dose of skepticism with everything you see or hear, after a while you see the narratives and see the bigger picture.

So in case you didn't read it the first time, I'm of the opinion that US has gone rogue, and this needs to be stopped. Just about everything out of the white house and msm is propaganda just like Libya was. The whole thing is a setup false flag. This is a proxy war against Russia and China, and there's no way to win without humanity losing.
 

videotronic

TRIBE Member
It works in both directions no? Surely you don't believe that only American media is suffering from excessive corporate influence.

How do you judge the quality of information? What makes one source more credible than another? What constitutes good evidence vs. corrupt/bad evidence, for you?

I'm not being facetious here.

What do you think are the motivations behind your alternative news sources? Where do they get their funding?

surely a guy staring intently into his macbook webcam on infowars would be well informed, no?

47jjmIol.png
 

Lojack

TRIBE Member
^ Seriously, the road to hell is paved with good intentions.

It would be easy to call Obama a liar, based on what he campaigned on.

Anyway, back to the chant:

R2P R2P R2P R2P R2P R2P! (Democrat)
USA USA USA USA USA USA! (Republican)

"Umm, no" (Rand Paul)

ETA: Good article. Spot on conclusion.

-- L
 
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praktik

TRIBE Member
It would be easy to call Obama a liar, based on what he campaigned on.
-- L

GG was on that just today:

In 2008, President Obama, when he was a candidate for President, had this question-and-answer exchange with the Boston Globe:

"Q. In what circumstances, if any, would the president have constitutional authority to bomb Iran without seeking a use-of-force authorization from Congress? (Specifically, what about the strategic bombing of suspected nuclear sites — a situation that does not involve stopping an IMMINENT threat?)

"OBAMA: The President does not have power under the Constitution to unilaterally authorize a military attack in a situation that does not involve stopping an actual or imminent threat to the nation.

"As Commander-in-Chief, the President does have a duty to protect and defend the United States. In instances of self-defense, the President would be within his constitutional authority to act before advising Congress or seeking its consent."​
Given that not even the most ardent interventionists for Syria contend that the bombing is necessary for US national security, how can a military attack on Syria without Congressional approval possibly be reconciled with that position? When the same issue arose with Obama's war in Libya in the absence of Congressional approval (indeed, after Congress expressly rejected its authorization), State Department adviser Harold Koh was forced to repudiate Obama's own words and say he was wrong back then. Who will play that role this time? As is so often the case, there is a much starker debate between candidate Obama and President Obama than there is between the leadership of both political parties in Washington:

Good book was The Confidence Men - I think maybe everyone knows there's a bit of a wink and a nod going on almost all the time in politics, but I'm not sure I'm ready to allege conscious mendacity or ill will.

I think rather more we saw someone absorbed by the Beltway Bubble - the team he put around him pretty much guaranteed that would be the way he'd go and no apple carts would be upset. The Confidence Men is a good detailing of all those dudes - especially Larry Summers.

That said, his foreign policy rhetoric on Iraq was refreshing but he had to toe the line on the American exceptionalism thing - we weren't talking about an isolationist here or a real representation of the anti-imperialist left - but someone who felt injured by the way Bush went around exercising American power.. He was just gonna do it "better" - maybe pull back a bit, but I think even the Obama of our dreams of yesteryear would be in a very similar position to the one he's in right now - tempted to go and fight monsters in the traditional mold of the Western civilizing mission, the one we are all familiar with here in Canada with our own bit of national pride resting on the "nation of peacekeepers" rhetoric. The American liberal foreign policy wet dream isn't that much different.

He had Libya under his belt and they all found ways to rationalize that one as a success - I don't think there's really any politician in the mix that wouldn't be tempted to push the button. Certainly any sitting president would have a significant number of voices asking him to do it and telling him why he should. It hits all the right notes and even though the American polling is down on this I have no reason to doubt it rising as soon as the missiles start flying.
 
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Ho||yw0oD

TRIBE Member
Regardless of all the political rhetoric and hypocracy coming out of the US administration's mouth, I see a bombing of Syria as not being enough to satisfy Western interests and I anticipate a full blown invasion within the year.

The point that the bombings will support the rebels, including Al Qaeda fighters, is an important one. If the West wants to maintain some degree of influence in the region they ought to act decisively and fully.

As we saw in Libya, Egypt, and even Algeria, the toppling of a dictator creates one hell of a political power vaccuum and renders the future satisfaction of Western interests victim to chance. We have learned that democracy in this region is difficult to establish, let alone maintain. Islamist politics will vie for a chance to gain power as we've seen in other Arab Spring nations.

Worst case scenario for the West would be the establishment of multiple Islamist regimes. I'm pretty sure the whole region has been fraught with in-fighting since Treaty of [Versailles?] and this has kept them from globally challenging Western power.
 

Lojack

TRIBE Member
Certainly any sitting president would have a significant number of voices asking him to do it and telling him why he should. It hits all the right notes and even though the American polling is down on this I have no reason to doubt it rising as soon as the missiles start flying.

One of the things Snowden referred to (IIRC) is that politicians can be blackmailed based on past information gathered. So that may not be a surprise to anyone who has studied that topic, but Snowden's comments really reminded me to ask "why?" again, particularly about that. What changes? Skip the eyes only shit for a minute, what has changed between someone vying for political power and then getting it? Fear? Fear of losing it? Second term Presidents shouldn't be concerned about that.. what else?
 
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