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Trump Presidency

Bernnie Federko

TRIBE Member

We now have a first hand account of the call transcript being moved to a secure top secret server. I see a certain WH lawyer getting called to testify now

Trump's schedule is empty today too. Probably spend it soiling his Depends
War room to get on top of this shit show.

He's pissed off enough people, the chickens are about roost.
 
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praktik

TRIBE Member
Trump and Illiberal Hegemony
Posted on October 30, 2019, 1:54 PM Daniel Larison

Bonnie Kristian dissects Trump’s Jekyll-and-Hyde foreign policy:
So far, so good—but then Mr. Hyde broke out. Though the president insists “we’re out” of Syria, that simply isn’t true, as he conceded in this very press conference. “We are leaving soldiers [in Syria] to secure the oil,” Trump said. “And we may have to fight for the oil.” After announcing he wants American soldiers home, he immediately backtracked, indicating they could stay if they are “fighting something that’s meaningful.” (Local observers in Syria are already reporting U.S. forces have returned to the bases they just left.) Staying to control Syrian oil or land against claims from the Syrian regime, ISIS, or some new extremist group—or whatever else a president unilaterally deems “meaningful”—is not withdrawal. It is the opposite of withdrawal.
It does not bring an overlong war to an end; it does not stem the rising cost of intervention or prevent further bloodshed; and it does not contribute to American security. It unnecessarily keeps our soldiers from coming home, and it puts the United States at grave risk of broader conflict, including with nuclear-armed Russia.
A major problem with Trump’s foreign policy is that when it comes to what he does it is all Hyde. Even when he gestures in the direction of exiting an unnecessary war, he does it in such a crude and destructive way that he fuels conflict instead of ending it. Trump will sometimes echo rhetoric that critics of endless wars use, but he doesn’t follow through on it and doesn’t understand the implications of it. Occasionally, he will start to lurch away from the wars he inherited, but he ends up lurching back again just as he has done in Afghanistan and Syria. On those few occasions when it looked as if he might be prepared to withdraw from at least one of our illegal wars overseas, he has reversed himself so quickly that it has appeared to be little more than a feint.

The trouble is that there really is no other side to Trump’s foreign policy in practice. There is just empty talk about “getting out” and “bringing our troops home” that he lacks the conviction and discipline to put into action. When Trump has committed to demolishing international agreements, he readily fulfills those pledges because it is an easy, destructive course to take. Exiting from the same wars that he has escalated requires more effort and careful attention than the president can muster. As we judge Trump’s foreign policy by actions rather than words, we can see that there is just a series of failed efforts at bullying and coercion mixed together with sporadic bursts of violence. What we see is the result of what Barry Posen perceptively dubbed illiberal hegemony, in which Trump continues almost all of the same policies in a cruder fashion.
 
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Bernnie Federko

TRIBE Member
A growing number of Senate Republicans are ready to acknowledge a quid pro quo on Ukraine, the WashPost's Rachael Bade and Seung Min Kim report.

"In this shift in strategy to defend Trump, these Republicans are insisting that the president’s action was not illegal and does not rise to the level of an impeachable offense."
Why it matters: This is an important story because it shows that even if Democrats show with certainty there was a quid pro quo, Republicans will still stand with Trump
 

Bernnie Federko

TRIBE Member
The N.Y. Times read all 11,390 of President Trump's White House tweets (twice), and reports these findings in a 10-page special section, with three articles online:

"At the beginning of his presidency, Mr. Trump tweeted about nine times per day. ... In the past three months, President Trump’s tweets have spilled out at triple the rate he set in 2017."
"[T]he person he most often singled out for praise was himself "— 2,026 times.

"[H]e attacks someone or something in more than half of his tweets. ... [H]e has attacked at least 630 people and things in 5,889 tweets since taking office."
From a long list of Tweet topics:

1,710: promoted conspiracies.
851: attacked minority groups.
36: called the news media the "enemy of the people."
16: referred to himself as everyone’s "favorite" president.
How to catch Trump's eye for a retweet ... "Capital letters help. ... Mornings, East Coast time, are best," Matt Flegenheimer writes.

"The surest path is echoing Mr. Trump’s voice. The user @fiiibuster, whose profile boasts that he has been retweeted twice by the president, [used the words] 'security,' 'prosperity,' 'America first,' 'Pathetic,' 'bad reporter,' 'shame!'"
 

Mondieu

TRIBE Member
I can’t decide which one of the Trump clowns needs to be knocked-the-fuck-out first. Eric is an easy bet. ...and an easy go. Don Jr. is is so greased-up, you’d need to land it square to avoid a slide. Don Sr. weighs 300 lbs. ...but he’d go down pretty fast with a bitch-slap and a foot-sweep. I call orange jumpsuits for all 3. ...and an orange tutu for the other one. ICE can handle the mail-order whore. ;)

This “we” shit takes the cake.

 
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Trump is now saying all the polls are fake, he knows what the "real polls" are and where he stands in impeachment.

I really hope the Republicans are going to ride or die this thing - considering how badly this will go for them in 2020's election.
 

Bernnie Federko

TRIBE Member
I can’t decide which one of the Trump clowns needs to be knocked-the-fuck-out first. Eric is an easy bet. ...and an easy go. Don Jr. is is so greased-up, you’d need to land it square to avoid a slide. Don Sr. weighs 300 lbs. ...but he’d go down pretty fast with a bitch-slap and a foot-sweep. I call orange jumpsuits for all 3. ...and an orange tutu for the other one. ICE can handle the mail-order whore.

This “we” shit takes the cake.

 

Bernnie Federko

TRIBE Member
Trump is showing how he could be impeached, survive and still win re-election, something never done before in American history.

Trump officials think two things must unfold for this to happen: Republicans must stay unified, in votes and voice, and the economy must be strong, in jobs and market returns. The trends are strong on both fronts, Axios CEO Jim VandeHei and I report.

  • Every single House Republican voted against a formal impeachment proceeding, a powerful show of unity. In the Senate, there are very few public signs of the Great Red Wall cracking.
  • Importantly, Senate Republicans are discussing how they will defend Trump even if Democrats prove beyond a shadow of a doubt Trump offered Ukraine a quid pro quo to investigate Joe Biden.
  • Sources close to Republican leadership told us they expect many GOP senators to ultimately settle on a talking point that Trump's actions were "inappropriate but not impeachable."
  • The economy is humming, too. Markets are rising; growth continues, albeit more slowly; and more jobs are materializing. It's hard to argue that the Trump economy is anything but consistently strong one year out from the presidential election.
The big picture: "The worst-case scenario" — that the Senate convicts Trump — "only presents itself if there's a material change in fact pattern," said a source close to Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell. "If we know what we know right now, there is no problem."

Behind the scenes: McConnell has privately told Trump that Senate Republicans aren't as susceptible to his pressure as House Republicans are.

  • The Senate leader encouraged Trump to give all Republican senators some room and not single anyone out that he may see as wobbly, per sources familiar with McConnell's advice to the president. Trump has recently pulled back from attacking Senate Republicans he deems insufficiently loyal.
  • McConnell has advised his colleagues to play offense where they can — for example, his resolution with Lindsey Graham criticizing Democrats' process. And he's advised his more skittish, moderate, colleagues to deflect reporters' questions by saying they'll be "a juror" in Trump's Senate trial and therefore can't comment.
Sources close to GOP Senate leadership said they were encouraged that not a single House Republican broke ranks on the impeachment proceeding vote last week.

  • An important part of the Senate GOP strategy is to present impeachment as an entirely partisan exercise.
Remember this number: Most polls show Trump's favorable rating among Republicans remains between 85% and 90%, after all the Ukraine revelations.

  • Ignore the cable and Twitter chatter about elected Republicans turning on Trump until a bunch actually do with their votes and actions. So far, there is scant evidence this is or will happen
 

praktik

TRIBE Member
Woah. Something even bigger is brewing up!



"
That’s three whistleblowers. What about the other four? Cockburn’s source says that at least one is nothing to do with Ukraine but instead was reporting a call between Trump and the Saudi ruler, Mohammed bin Salman. Specifically, the whistleblower is said to have ‘concerns’ about what was said on the call about the president’s son-in-law and adviser, Jared Kushner. Kushner himself is known to have a very close relationship with MBS. Cockburn has previously written that Kushner may have been what Cosmo would call an ‘oversharer’ when it came to MBS. Unfortunately, it’s claimed that what he was sharing was American secrets: information Kushner had requested from the CIA would (allegedly) be echoed back in US intercepts of calls between members of the Saudi royal family. One source said this was why Kushner lost his intelligence clearances for a while.

According to Cockburn’s source about the seven whistleblowers, there’s more. It is that Kushner (allegedly) gave the green light to MBS to arrest the dissident journalist, Jamal Khashoggi, who was later murdered and dismembered in the Saudi consulate in Istanbul. A second source tells Cockburn that this is true and adds a crucial twist to the story. This source claims that Turkish intelligence obtained an intercept of the call between Kushner and MBS. And President Erdogan used it to get Trump to roll over and pull American troops out of northern Syria before the Turks invaded. Cockburn hears that investigators for the House Intelligence Committee know this whole tale and the identities of some of the people telling it. Whether any of is true is another matter but Adam Schiff certainly seems to be smiling a lot these days."
 

Bernnie Federko

TRIBE Member
Woah. Something even bigger is brewing up!



"
That’s three whistleblowers. What about the other four? Cockburn’s source says that at least one is nothing to do with Ukraine but instead was reporting a call between Trump and the Saudi ruler, Mohammed bin Salman. Specifically, the whistleblower is said to have ‘concerns’ about what was said on the call about the president’s son-in-law and adviser, Jared Kushner. Kushner himself is known to have a very close relationship with MBS. Cockburn has previously written that Kushner may have been what Cosmo would call an ‘oversharer’ when it came to MBS. Unfortunately, it’s claimed that what he was sharing was American secrets: information Kushner had requested from the CIA would (allegedly) be echoed back in US intercepts of calls between members of the Saudi royal family. One source said this was why Kushner lost his intelligence clearances for a while.

According to Cockburn’s source about the seven whistleblowers, there’s more. It is that Kushner (allegedly) gave the green light to MBS to arrest the dissident journalist, Jamal Khashoggi, who was later murdered and dismembered in the Saudi consulate in Istanbul. A second source tells Cockburn that this is true and adds a crucial twist to the story. This source claims that Turkish intelligence obtained an intercept of the call between Kushner and MBS. And President Erdogan used it to get Trump to roll over and pull American troops out of northern Syria before the Turks invaded. Cockburn hears that investigators for the House Intelligence Committee know this whole tale and the identities of some of the people telling it. Whether any of is true is another matter but Adam Schiff certainly seems to be smiling a lot these days."
 
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praktik

TRIBE Member
...waiting for the Post (especially) and others to get this vetted from multiple sources and to see this hit the news cycle! Yknow the Post will be ALL over this.
 

Bernnie Federko

TRIBE Member
  • Nov. 4, 2019Updated 8:06 p.m. ET
An associate of Rudolph W. Giuliani who was involved in a campaign to pressure Ukraine into aiding President Trump’s political prospects has broken ranks, opening a dialogue with congressional impeachment investigators and accusing the president of falsely denying their relationship.

The associate, Lev Parnas, had previously resisted speaking with investigators for the Democrat-led impeachment proceedings, which are examining the president’s pressure attempts in Ukraine. A former lawyer for Mr. Trump was then representing Mr. Parnas.

But since then, Mr. Parnas has hired new lawyers who contacted the congressional investigators last week to notify them to “direct any future correspondence or communication to us,” according to a copy of the letter.

The lawyers also signaled on Monday that Mr. Parnas, who was arrested last month on campaign finance charges, is prepared to comply with a congressional subpoena for his documents and testimony.
 
While this might be filed under "no duh", Moscow Mitch said that he expects the senate to let Trump off the hook when the case gets to them.

I'm kind of hoping he's right - think about how many vulnerable Republican Senators will be fucked after this - Susan Collins especially.

Hopefully Virginia and Mississippi shows this tonight with their elections.
 
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