Wuhan mystery: New doubts on virus origin
"Three researchers from China’s Wuhan Institute of Virology became sick enough in November 2019 that they sought hospital care," The Wall Street Journal reports from previously undisclosed U.S. intelligence.
In a letter published in the journal Science, leading researchers called last week for a renewed investigation of COVID origins.
- Why it matters: The new reporting "could add weight to growing calls for a fuller probe of whether the Covid-19 virus may have escaped from the laboratory."
Fauci doubts: "No, I am not convinced about that," Anthony Fauci said at a PolitiFact event this month when asked if he was confident COVID developed naturally.
- "I think we should continue to investigate what went on in China until we continue to find out to the best of our ability what happened."
Of course, the “extremely unlikely pathway” of a lab accident has received a lot of media attention, which is understandable. The investigators could not rule out a lab origin, but there was no direct evidence for it, and the totality of evidence from epidemiology and molecular biology make it the least likely scenario. The joint WHO-China findings have received some international criticism. In a joint statement of 14 countries, including the US, the WHO and China were urged to provide full transparency, and criticized the mission for: “significantly delayed and lacked access to complete, original data and samples”.
- direct zoonotic spillover is considered to be a possible-to-likely pathway;
- introduction through an intermediate host is considered to be a likely to very likely pathway;
- introduction through cold/food chain products is considered a possible pathway;
- introduction through a laboratory incident was considered to be an extremely unlikely pathway
Nearly half of patients had a functional decline from their baseline. As many of these patients were older, especially early on in the pandemic, recovery was likely slow and incomplete. Another recent study published in BMJ Open looked at so-called “long COVID” – following patients for an average of 12.8 weeks after diagnosis. They found:Nearly twenty percent of COVID-19 survivors discharged to a location other than their home. Forty-five percent of survivors experienced functional decline impacting their discharge. Eighty-seven (80.6%) of survivors who showed functional change during hospitalization were referred for additional therapy at discharge.
This is an enormous burden, and the study documents that this affects not only the patients but their families and caregivers.81.1% (596/735) reported pain and discomfort, 79.5% (584/735) problems with usual activities, 68.7% (505/735) anxiety and depression and 56.2% (413/735) problems with mobility.
Ya he already got one and didn't like that was "inconclusive"Biden wants a report on whether US intelligence thinks COVID-19 escaped from the lab.
The move was a public indication that his administration takes seriously the possibility that the virus was accidentally leaked from a lab, as well as the prevailing theory that it was transmitted by an animal to humans.And India’s official tally of infections and deaths grossly understates the...www.nytimes.com