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Coronavirus outbreak tracker

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Bernnie Federko

TRIBE Member
  • Some readers tell us they think virus coverage has been overly dramatic. So we wanted to share with you the consensus of what the most clear-eyed, serious, optimistic people are saying, as a way to focus our minds.
Tens of thousands of Americans die, we have double-digit unemployment for months, countless businesses die, retirements are wiped out, and the nation is saddled with once unimaginable debt.
  • That, folks, is the best case scenario we're facing.
  • That's if we're lucky — and doesn't even mention the lost graduations, honeymoons, weddings, and other important missed milestones.
Here's an example: A survey of epidemiology experts, posted by a scholar at UMass Amherst and reported by FiveThirtyEight, predicted that the number of cases reported by the end of this month would most likely fall somewhere between 10,500 and 81,500.
  • The survey was taken Monday and Tuesday.
  • We’re already right around 20,000 cases, so the lower end of those estimates is out the window.
The same survey anticipates about 200,000 deaths in the U.S. this year, but experts have established a range that stretches from as few as 19,000 deaths to as many as 1.2 million.
  • A true best-case scenario would look a lot like the response in places like Singapore and South Korea, which were able to quickly “flatten the curve” and bring the number of new cases under control.
  • But the U.S. simply has not been doing the things that worked in those countries, so whatever our best-case scenario may be, it’s not that good
 
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ndrwrld

TRIBE Member
Today there are 30,000 cases of coronavirus in the US. If the trend persists, by next week there will be more than 600,000.

US Surgeon General.
 

Mondieu

TRIBE Member
That article speaks nothing of the fact that he’s a DJ who plays to tightly packed spaces, globally. It mentions little of the fact or reasoning behind him jetting from place to place - well after the alarm was sounded.

Why are there no details or context provided in this article?

I hope John is ok and am also wondering why someone who put themselves at such risk is suddenly the CBC’s poster-child for failures in the Ontario response to this crisis.
 
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Mondieu

TRIBE Member
The take-out/delivery industry is the weakest link in the chain. Here, we see the loophole in the flattening of the curve. These businesses are focused on business. They’re NOT taking precautions. No masks. No gloves. No hair-nets. NADA.

This shit is transferred via minuscule droplets of human excretion, from the mouth, all the way to the asshole.

None of this goes away until it’s all shut down. ...and that’s happening soon. ;)
 
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